Brexit 5: Carrie, Cummings, Canada, Covid and Corbyn

Friday 13th, unlucky for some

Chiefย advisor to the Prime Minister and formerย director of the campaign to leave the European Union Dominic Cummings confirmed he would be leaving his role before Christmas before abruptly changing that to today, Friday 13th of November.ย  Former Chancellor Sajid Javid has reportedly been proposed as Boris Johnsonโ€™s new chief-of-staff.ย 

The news broke amid reports of infighting atย No. 10,ย with senior advisorย Lee Cain resigningย afterย allegedlyย being blocked from the job of chief of staff by Boris Johnsonโ€™sย fianceeย Carrieย Symondsย and others in the PMโ€™s inner circle.ย Msย Symonds was alsoย rumouredย to have been involved in Cummingsโ€™ย swift exit.ย ย 

Leaders in the EU parliamentย blamed delaysย in the Brexit negotiations on the disruption,ย an allegation which Downing Street hasย denied,ย calling it a โ€œchaotic situationโ€.ย Theย discussions are stalled on twoย issues,ย UK fishing waters and ensuring neither party has a competitive advantage in trade.ย 

A vaccine in the arm is worth two in the channelย 

Hopes were raised that the year of COVID-19 may soon be coming to an end with pharmaceutical giantsย Pfizer andย BioNTechย announcingย theirย vaccine trialsย for the virus had been 90% effective.ย ย 

While the news was welcomed across the government,ย Transport Secretary Grant Shappsย was forced to deny that imports of the vaccineย from Europeย would not be affected by Brexitย with Health Secretary Matt Hancock suggesting theย doses could be flownย in instead.ย The UKโ€™s transition period ends on the 1stย of Januaryย and the government has ordered millions of doses of the vaccine, including some from Belgium.ย ย 

There has already been concern about long lorry queues at the border following the UKโ€™s exit and the vaccine, which needs to be kept atย minus 70 degreesย Celsius,ย andย cannot survive for longย in normal fridges.ย ย 

A not so special relationshipย 

The announcement of Joe Biden as the nextย President of the United Statesย was welcome news for many around the world but a possible thorn in the side of post-Brexitย tradeย negotiations forย UKย Prime Minister Boris Johnson.ย ย 

Theย President-electย last year was reported to haveย called Mr Johnsonย the โ€œphysical and emotional clone of Donald Trumpโ€,ย comments which,ย givenย Mrย Bidenโ€™s history withย Mrย Trump,ย it is fair to assume were not meant as a compliment.ย 

President Trump was also a vocal supporter of Brexit, while President-elect Biden hasย criticisedย the UKโ€™s handling of issues such as the Irish border saying: โ€œAny trade deal between the U.S. and U.K. must be contingent upon respect for the [Good Friday] Agreement and preventing the return of a hard border.โ€ย 

Is it too late now to say sorry?ย 

Members of formerย Labourย leader Jeremy Corbynโ€™s shadow cabinet haveย called on Labourย toย issue a โ€œfull throated apologyโ€ย for the partyโ€™s stance on Brexit during the last election.ย 

The suggestion was made in a report by former party chairman Ian Lavery and former elections chief Jon Trickett. Theyย said backing a secondย referendum had negatively impactedย Labourโ€™sย reputation with both Remain and Leave voters.ย ย 

The currentย Labourย leader Sir Keir Starmerย was also a strong advocate of a second referendum.

Weโ€™ll always haveย Ottawaโ€ฆor notย 

Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeauย saidย on Thursdayย thatย a post-Brexitย trade deal between Canada and the UK should be finished before Christmas,ย claimingย it was โ€œeasyโ€.ย ย 

On the other hand, he went on to sayย thatย finalisingย the dealย before January 1stย might be a struggleย as Britain did not โ€œhave theย bandwithโ€ to handle trade negotiations.ย 

Either way, Canada is the largest of 15 โ€œEU dealsโ€ which needย to be agreed post-Brexit and not doing so could risk expensive tariffs for the UK.ย ย 

The Whitehouse team are experts in the potential impact of Brexit, providing political consultancy and public affairs advice to a wide range of clients across the Member States of the European Union and the United Kingdom. More information about our Brexit experience can be foundย here, or, if you have any questions, please contact our Chair, Chris Whitehouse, atย chris.whitehouse@whitehousecomms.com

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